Indeed, the quantities of cigarettes sold strongly depend on the evolution of purchases by cross-border commuters and foreign tourists, on contraband, of imports done in the context of touristic traffic or Internet sales, on transition from manufactured cigarettes to roll-you-own tobacco, and on provisions made by consumers when price increases are announced. Thus, to obtain quantities consumed by the resident population, two adjustments are needed: Adjustment 1: Aggregate data on sales of duty-paid cigarettes in the country need to be adjusted to take into account cigarettes which are brought into the country via legal or illegal channels (inflows) and cigarettes which are sold but not consumed in the country (outflows)
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But, Cummings told Healthline, the problem with that study was that people who only smoked unfiltered cigarettes were different in many ways age, gender, income, other tobacco use than people who smoked filtered ones
